Clustering illusion
Tendency to erroneously consider the inevitable “streaks” or “clusters” arising in small samples from random distributions to be non-random.
Tendency to erroneously consider the inevitable “streaks” or “clusters” arising in small samples from random distributions to be non-random.
Argument that a proposition must be false if it contradicts one’s expectations or beliefs.
Failure to consider sample size when estimating the probability of obtaining a particular value drawn from a known population.
Series of steps which is seemingly correct but contains a flawed argument, or a spurious proof of an obvious contradiction such as that 1 = 2. Mathematical fallacies differ from simple mistakes in that there is an element of concealment in the presentation of the proof.
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| Clustering illusion | |
|---|---|
| Tendency to erroneously consider the inevitable "streaks" or "clusters" arising in small samples from random distributions to be non-random. | |
| 9 | |
| 44 | |